Science career pessimism: it’s not just me

Before actually becoming a scientist, I had a particular view of what a science career was about. Part of this view came from reading biographies of famous scientists, but a big part came from being the child of scientist who is not famous but very successful. My experiences in grad school and during my postdoc have been a great disillusionment, despite the marvelous intellectual experiences and the caring and inspiring mentors it’s been my privilege to work with. You’re probably thinking, well duh, anyone in any career hits a point of disillusionment because nothing is every as glamorous as it seems from the outside, except perhaps the life of a billionaire hedge fund manager. (If you make more than $100 million annually, I don’t want to hear any shit about your life not being as glamorous as it seems… it’s plenty glamorous.)

Back to science careers – as I’ve discussed before, there is some external evidence that my impressions aren’t simply the natural impatience of someone near the end of the long so-called training period. Here’s one more report on the issue, this time from way back in 2001, when the NIH budget was still on a path to doubling and long before R01 grant success rates hit an all-time low in 2011:

“Careers and Rewards in Bio Sciences: the disconnect between scientific progress and career progression” (PDF): Continue reading “Science career pessimism: it’s not just me”

Math Madness #2: The “Jinx” & The “Choke”

During their 2009 game against Villanova, Duke guard John Scheyer was getting ready to take his fifth foul shot of the game. He’d made all four previous attempts. Announcer Verne Lundquist made reference to Scheyer’s high career free throw success rate (86%). Scheyer missed the shot, causing Lundquist to publicly flagellate himself for jinxing Scheyer.

Scheyer was one of the best foul shooters to ever play for Duke (3rd best). An 86% success rate is so high that we expect Scheyer to make any given free throw. Yet, at the moment of Lundquist’s apology, Scheyer was 4 for 5 (80%) from the line. Even over that small sample set, his short term 80% success rate was effectively identical to his career rate of 86%.

Verne didn’t jinx Scheyer. He just made a statement that, by chance, happened to coincide with a normal, probabilistic event. Superstitions get started that way. Continue reading “Math Madness #2: The “Jinx” & The “Choke””

Graphic History of the Dystopian Novel

Goodreads blog has a nice graphic timeline of the dystopian novel. The genre appears to have peaked in the mid-40’s, the mid-50’s, and well, now. The difference between now and the 50’s, according to the graphic, is that today’s swath of dystopian books aimed at teenagers features more romance, is inspired by the “vapidity of pop culture”, and is rated more highly by women than by men. That’s probably because zombie apocalypses are notably missing from the timeline.

Boy of Destiny

My post-Science Online 2012 interview with Bora Zivkovic is up at Scientific American Blogs. Hopefully, it conveys Calvin’s breadth of vision without the egomania and intense narcissism.

Throwing in the towel

How I often feel about my science career in a nutshell (and I’m not the guy with the beret) – from xkcd:

DNA is easier to read than the workings of success.